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Home » After Nvidia’s results, is the AI ​​trend still investors’ friend?
AI in Finance

After Nvidia’s results, is the AI ​​trend still investors’ friend?

4 Mins Read
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Trends are trends because they come and go, with the world of investing and markets certainly being no exception.

In 2020, it was working from home. In 2021, it was the Great Reopening. In 2022, it was crypto and digital assets, and a bit of ESG. The year 2023 was placed under the sign of the Magnificent Seven. And this year? In short, artificial intelligence, with world leader Nvidia (NVDA) up.

A quick look at the attention and media coverage Nvidia is receiving in the run-up to its quarterly results confirms this. THE stock of 2024. It also quickly catapulted the company into rarefied air, where analysts and investors continually place surreal expectations on how much the company sells, how much it is expected to sell, and how much demand for its AI-driven products. chips.

Its most recent earnings report was no exception, with Superbowl-style media coverage preceding and following Wednesday’s numbers.

There’s no doubt why: Nvidia is clearly the king of AI, with huge, well-known clients like Microsoft. (MSFT)Google (GOOG)Amazon (AMZN)and much more, reclaiming its semiconductors and hardware at a ferocious pace to amplify their AI-driven offerings.

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang before a baseball game between the San Francisco Giants and the Arizona Diamondbacks in San Francisco, Tuesday, September 3, 2024. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
Is Wall Street wary? Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang in San Francisco (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu) · ASSOCIATED PRESS

But when it comes to investing, what matters most is potential. Although Nvidia beat expectations for the quarter and issued better-than-expected guidance, the stock temporarily stumbled. Investors were either taking profits on their previous investments in the stock or were embittered that the gains – a 94% increase in sales over a three-month period – were no longer what they used to be.

Nvidia previously reported growth of 122% in the second quarter, 262% in the first quarter, and 265% in the fourth quarter of 2023.

Proponents of AI argue that the world is only at the beginning of the transition to the next level of computing, where large language models and algorithms process faster and deeper than ever before. And Nvidia supporters say Nvidia far outperforms its competitors in providing the necessary chips and hardware.

“We are in the very early stages of a transformative moment in IT,” Ben Bajarin, Creative Strategies’ director of consumer technology, told Yahoo Finance on Thursday after the earnings report was released.

On the other hand, some analysts question whether Nvidia’s customers, including Meta (META)Microsoft and Google can recoup the billions they spend on AI hardware.

President-elect Donald Trump arrives to watch SpaceX's Starship mega-rocket take off on a test flight with Elon Musk from Starbase in Boca Chica, Texas, Tuesday, Nov. 19, 2024. (Brandon Bell/Pool via AP)
Watch out for political uncertainty: President-elect Donald Trump arrives to watch SpaceX’s Starship mega-rocket take off on a test flight with Elon Musk from Starbase Boca Chica, Texas, on November 19. (Photo: Brandon Bell/Pool via AP) · ASSOCIATED PRESS

Nvidia’s ability to meet demand for its highly sought-after Blackwell chip is also giving pause to some analysts, including Emarketer’s Jacob Bourne.

“Critical questions regarding Blackwell’s production ramp and customer concentration remain major concerns,” Bourne said in a note. “There is little room for missteps in execution in 2025.”

There is also political uncertainty, given Donald Trump’s threat to impose blanket tariffs on products around the world, including chips and components produced outside the United States, particularly those made in Taiwan . Trump said companies like TSMC, which currently produce chips for Nvidia and others in Taiwan, would be incentivized to build chip manufacturing plants, or factories, in the United States to avoid having to pay duties customs.

For the most part, investors and analysts appear more than ready to continue betting on Nvidia through 2025. Year to date, the stock is up more than 210%.

That said, expectations for the next quarter are already on target: Revenue for the quarter ending January 2025 is expected to be $38 billion, according to the average of 40 analyst estimates tracked by Yahoo Financials, up from $35.1 billion in the previous quarter. recent quarter.

Of course, there is no such thing as insatiable demand, and there will come a time when AI development may outpace AI execution. Even before then, investors and Wall Street will most likely have already reassessed and adjusted their expectations for Nvidia’s future sales and earnings.

Check out more Nvidia analysis from Yahoo Finance

The big question is whether AI itself will transform IT in the long term or whether it is just another investment trend. Does anyone remember the term “Big Data”?

Corey Goldman is a senior editorial consultant for Yahoo Finance. Follow Goldman on Twitter/X @mcoreygoldman.

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